BTL 902 - Key Credit Risk Metrics
The Banking Tutor’s Lessons
BTL 902 24-05-2026
Key Credit Risk Metrics
The following 5 Credit Risk Metrics are the building blocks
of Credit Risk and they work together.
Probability of Default (PD) – The likelihood that a borrower will fail to repay the loan
within the specified period. It tells un that “default may happen”.
Loss Given Default (LGD) - How much the lender expects to lose after a borrower
defaults, once recoveries/collateral are considered. It tells us “How much we
lose”.
Exposure at Default (EAD) – The total amount the Bank is to when default happens. It
tells us “How big the exposure is”.
Expected Credit Loss (ECL) – The forward-looking estimate of potential losses from
credit risk. It combines all the three
(PD, LGD and EAD) into expected loss.
Portfolio at Risk (PAR) – The percentage of the loan portfolio with overdue payments
beyond a defined threshold (e.g. PAR30, PAR90). It shows current portfolio
stress.
Sekhar Pariti
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